Lifetime Risk of HIV Diagnosis in the United States

A CDC study “Estimating The Lifetime Risk of a Diagnosis of HIV Infection in the United States” was presented at CROI in Boston this February. This is the first ever comprehensive national estimate of lifetime risk of an HIV diagnosis for several key populations at risk in every state.

The overall likelihood that an American will be diagnosed with HIV at any point during her or his lifetime is 1 in 99. Even though this is an improvement from 1 in 78 in a 2004 study, there are stark disparities by race, risk group and geography.

The Lifetime Risk by Transmission Group was:

  • MSM with a 1 in 6 risk
  • Women Who Inject Drugs with a 1 in 23 risk
  • Men Who Inject Drugs with a 1 in 36 risk
  • Heterosexual Women with 1 in 241 risk
  • Heterosexual Men with 1 in 473 risk.

The lifetime risk of diagnosis among MSM by Race/Ethnicity was the following:

  • African American MSM 1 in 2
  • Hispanic MSM 1 in 4
  • White MSM 1 in 11

Lifetime Risk by Race/Ethnicity was:

  • African American Men 1 in 20
  • African American Women 1 in 48
  • Hispanic Men 1 in 48
  • Hispanic Women 1 in 227
  • White Men 1 in 132
  • White Women 1 in 880

Geography also made a difference is HIV Diagnosis Risk

  • District of Colombia 1 in 13
  • Maryland 1 in 49
  • Georgia 1 in 51
  • Florida 1 in 54 Louisiana 1in 56
  • New York 1 in 69

For a complete Geographic list and synopsis of the Lifetime Risk click HERE

To view the WEBCAST Presentation from CROI click HERE

To view the Abstract from CROI Click HERE